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IB10021: Animal Agriculture: Issues for the 106th Congress

Geoffrey S. Becker
Resources, Science, and Industry Division

September 22, 1999

CONTENTS

SUMMARY

A variety of animal agriculture issues has generated debate in the 106th Congress, including low livestock prices, particularly for hogs. Economic difficulties have revived questions such as the impacts of consolidation in the livestock industry, and the price effects of animal imports from Canada and Mexico.

This summer, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) was implementing provisions in the emergency supplemental appropriations bill (H.R. 1141; P.L. 106-31, signed May 21) that make available up to $145 million to assist pork producers, and another $73 million in payments to livestock producers generally for disaster losses. New economic assistance for animal agriculture also is being considered as part of a broader, multi-billion farm relief package now nearing passage in Congress.

A number of other legislative proposals to assist livestock producers have been introduced, including bills mandating that packers report prices paid for animals (the Senate Agriculture Committee marked up a bill on July 29, 1999), or that meat products be labeled with their country of origin.

On the trade front, U.S. officials concluded an agreement on April 14, 1999, on the application of sanitary and phytosanitary standards that, among other things, commits China to immediately open its markets to U.S. pork, beef, and poultry imports by agreeing to accept USDA certification of the safety of U.S. products exported.

President Clinton, on July 7, 1999, announced new, higher tariffs on lamb imports from New Zealand and Australia based on findings by the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) that increased lamb meat imports "are a substantial cause of the threat of serious injury" to U.S. producers. In a separate action, the ITC on January 19, found that U.S. cattlemen might have been economically threatened by Canadian cattle imports, leading the Commerce Department to impose a preliminary 5.57% duty on such imports. A final relief determination is due by October 3.

Continuing disputes with the European Union (EU) over its barriers to U.S. meat and poultry imports and chronic difficulties getting products into countries in the increasingly important Asian market also are at issue, as Congress considers the success of existing trade agreements and whether to enter into new ones. For example, the World Trade Organization gave the EU until May 13 to lift its ban on imports of meat products from animals treated with growth-promoting hormones. The EU did not lift the ban, and the United States retaliated by imposing, in late July, 100% tariffs on $117 million worth of EU imports.

In another area, the Administration issued in March 9 1999, a new "Unified National Strategy" for animal feeding operations -(AFOs) aimed at improving compliance and strengthening existing regulations for controlling waste discharged from such operations. In August 1999, the Environmental Protection Agency followed up by unveiling a proposed guidance manual and permit examples for AFOs, inviting public comments for 60 days. It is aimed at providing information on which AFOs would need to apply for permits (likely 15,000 to 20,000 of the largest operations); how manure should be applied on land; and monitoring and reporting requirements, among other things.

MOST RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

On September 22, 1999, House-Senate conferees were attempting to resolve differences in their versions of a FY2000 USDA appropriation bill (H.R. 1906; S. 1233); the Senate version contains a $7.65 billion emergency farm relief package that would earmark $325 million for livestock and dairy producers, among other provisions. Meanwhile, USDA has been implementing provisions in an earlier emergency supplemental appropriation (P.L. 106-31, signed May 21) that make available up to $145 million to assist pork producers, and another $73 million in payments to livestock producers generally for disaster losses.

Legislation requiring mandatory reporting of livestock and meat prices, which many producers believe is needed for them to determine accurate market conditions, is advancing in Congress. The Senate Agriculture Committee, on July 29, 1999, approved a compromise bill, culminating a long period of intensive negotiations involving meat packing companies and livestock producers to design a comprehensive price reporting law acceptable to both segments of the industry.

On the trade front, the European Union (EU) did not meet a World Trade Organization (WTO) deadline of May 13 for lifting its 10-year-old ban on imports of meat from animals treated with growth hormones, after issuing a preliminary report that raised questions about potential human health risks. The United States, which strongly criticized the report as unscientific, retaliated by imposing, on July 29, 100% tariffs on $117 million in EU agricultural imports here. However, the EU and United States did finalize, on July 26, a "veterinary equivalency" agreement and process for determining that each side has equivalent safety and sanitary standards for animal products.

In another area, in August 1999, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) unveiled a proposed guidance manual and permit examples for animal feeding operations (AFOs), inviting public comments for 60 days. It is aimed at providing information on which AFOs would need to apply for waste discharge permits (likely 15,000 to 20,000 of the largest operations); how manure should be applied on land; and monitoring and reporting requirements, among other things.

BACKGROUND AND ANALYSIS

Importance of Animal Products

In 1998, U.S. farmers received $93 billion from the sale of their animal products, about 47% of the value of all agricultural products marketed, according to USDA. In virtually every state, one or more of the top five farm commodities (based on sales) was an animal product, such as milk, cattle/calves, hogs, poultry, or eggs.

These commodities contribute about three-quarters of the protein and one-third of the food energy to the average American's diet. Of the $561 billion that U.S. consumers spent on all U.S. farm-produced foods in 1997 (the most recent year available), roughly half was for meat, poultry, eggs, and dairy products.

Recent Economic and Price Concerns

Livestock (i.e., cattle, hog, lamb) and poultry (i.e., broiler and turkey) producers entered 1999 with record supplies of red meat and poultry, contributing to depressed prices for livestock in general and hogs in particular. Low feed and other input costs have helped to offset some lost income. Red meat production will level off in 1999. However, increased poultry production will push overall meat and poultry supplies to yet another all-time record of more than 81 billion pounds in 1999--portending another year of economic difficulties for many animal producers. Total meat and poultry supplies are expected by USDA to level off or decline in 2000.

Hogs. The pork industry has been shaken both by historically low hog prices in 1998 and by a relatively rapid decline in the number of smaller-sized hog farms. Average 1998 live hog prices dropped to $35/cwt., the lowest annual level since 1972 and, adjusted for inflation, the lowest of the century. Some reported prices dipped below $10 in mid-December. (Prices in 1996 and 1997 averaged above $50/cwt.) The University of Missouri estimates that U.S. hog farms lost $2.5 billion in equity last year; other analysts have estimated that losses were even higher. For all of 1999, prices will average $32-33/cwt.; for 2000, they will average $34-37, USDA has projected.

Economists attributed the recent price problems to a 10% increase in pork production in 1998 over 1997. Producers had expanded in response to relatively higher prices paid for hogs in 1996 and 1997, to lower grain prices, and to predictions of continuing robust export growth. Hog prices also were depressed due to large supplies of beef and poultry competing for the consumer dollar; and to the closure of several large packing plants last year, which strained slaughter capacity and deterred packers from taking even more animals off the farm, according to analysts.

Meanwhile, hog production is being consolidated into fewer and larger operations. From 1993 to 1998 alone, the number of U.S. farms with one or more hogs declined by nearly half, from 218,060 to 114,380, according to USDA. In fact, by 1997, the largest 18 operators were responsible for nearly one-fourth of the entire nation's hog output--roughly the equivalent of Iowa's entire annual production. Newer, much larger, and highly capitalized facilities account for most of the recent expansion. In order to cover high fixed costs, these facilities tend to stay in the hog business longer, even when prices are low, than the relatively smaller-sized, and more diversified, farms of the past, which tended to more quickly enter or exit the hog business in response to price changes. The larger operations also tend to have contract supply relationships with processing plants, rather than selling in spot cash markets.

Cattle. The cattle industry has struggled with a longer-term problem:--the longer-term erosion of market share to competing protein sources, especially poultry. Prices paid for "fed" (i.e., slaughter-ready) cattle in the Nebraska market averaged about $61/cwt. in 1998, down from $66 in 1997 and the lowest annualized price of the 1990s, according to USDA. Average prices for "feeder" cattle (animals bred and readied for placement in feedlots) in Oklahoma City were about $72 in 1998. Prices had reached $76 in 1997, after a long slide between 1993 and 1996, from $86 to $61. USDA expects beef production to decline by 2000, leading to price improvements. Average prices are projected at $64-65 in 1999 and $66-72 in 2000 for Nebraska fed cattle; and $73-75 in 1999 and $78-84 in 2000 for Oklahoma City feeder cattle.

Poultry. Broiler prices averaged 63¢/lb. 1998, or more than 4¢ higher than the prior year, helped by a relatively modest 2% growth in production. Prices might have been higher if the key Russian market had not collapsed after devaluation of the ruble in August 1998. For 1999, average prices could drop by 4-5¢ due to a projected 6% growth in production, and to sluggish exports, USDA said. Turkey prices averaged about 62¢/lb. in 1998, from 65¢ in 1997; they may recover to 69-70¢ in 1999 but decline to 61-67¢ in 2000. Large meat supplies have helped to dampen poultry prices.

Government Response

USDA launched a number of initiatives--and Members of Congress have proposed various bills--to assist the livestock industry, particularly pork. Both the House and Senate Agriculture Committees have held hearings where these issues have been reviewed.

Hog Industry Assistance. USDA has among other things: provided $50 million for direct payments of $5 per head to smaller-sized producers; eased Farm Service Agency (FSA) credit terms; accelerated the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) pseudorabies eradication program with an infusion of $80 million; purchased, since February 1998, $165 million worth of pork products for distribution to domestic feeding programs (including $95 million in so-called "bonus" buys over and above planned purchases); and earmarked pork (along with other meats) for several export and food aid programs.

On May 21, the President signed an emergency supplemental appropriations bill (H.R. 1141; P.L. 106-31) that includes a Senate provision making available up to an additional $145 million specifically to assist pork producers. The measure also permits USDA to exceed the statutory limitation of 25% of total available money that it can spend on any single commodity under the so-called Section 32 program (used to purchase surplus farm products), theoretically enabling the Department to spend more funds on hog producers.

USDA is now disbursing $100 million or more for additional direct payments to hog producers. Those marketing no more than 2,500 hogs during the last 6 months of 1998 (about 96% of all operations) are eligible for the payments, which cannot exceed $5,000 per recipient. Payment rates are $10 per head (with the previous $5 per head payments counting toward the $10 limit).

Other Livestock Assistance. The Senate-passed emergency supplemental bill includes an additional $73 million (not in the House version) to assist livestock producers generally who have experienced disaster-related losses. On June 29, 1999, the Secretary announced that most of this money was being made available, through county FSA offices, to supplement the $200 million in livestock disaster assistance that was provided in the FY1999 omnibus appropriations bill. The combined $270 million will enable producers in 31 states to be compensated for a total of 30% of the value of their grazing losses.

Because of continuing low prices in the crop as well as livestock sectors in 1999, Congress and the Administration are debating another major farm relief package this year, which is being considered as part of the FY2000 USDA appropriations bills (H.R. 1906; S. 1233) passed by the House and Senate and before a conference committee on September 22. The Senate version contains a $7.65 billion emergency farm relief package that earmarks $325 million for livestock and dairy producers, among other provisions. (See CRS Issue Brief 10043, Farm Economic Relief: Issues and Options for Congress.)

Current law gives USDA the discretion to determine whether a commodity is insurable under the federal crop insurance program, but livestock is specifically excluded. The Administration and several Members of Congress have proposed offering, on a pilot basis, revenue-based insurance products for livestock. (Se CRS Issue Brief 10037, Federal Crop Insurance: Reform Issues in the 106th Congress.) 

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